It's Time for DeKalb to Show Up

Georgia may have record turnout, but it's not even across the State

We are more than half way through the early voting period and there is more work to do. Read this recap on the latest election data below, and plan to join us knocking doors this weekend. We need to keep voting energy high!

In this edition of the Draper Paper:

Early Voting is up, but the work isn’t done.

Early voting in Georgia is up, but the headlines overstate the gains. The real story is more complicated. In-person early voting is running ahead of 2022, with several record breaking days. Absentee ballots are down, sharply in some counties. The result is an overall early vote count only modestly higher than 2022 and uneven across the state.

Chart 1: In-person early voting is up; mail ballots are down by half Bar chart comparing accepted early ballots through Oct. 22, 2026, with the same point in 2022, 12 days before Election Day. In-person early voting is up 12%: 1,396,698 in 2026 vs. 1,251,794 in 2022. Mail ballots are down 51%: 67,743 vs. 139,260. All early ballots are up 5.4%: 1,467,774 vs. 1,392,913. Gwinnett's 2022 counts come from the state's daily reports because its 2022 ballot file is incomplete.

Chart 1

Fewer mail ballots are on the way

We should not expect absentee voting to close the gap from the first two weeks. Absentee ballot requests are down roughly 50% in major metro areas, so the late surge of absentee votes we have seen in past cycles is unlikely to materialize.

Note: If you have not received your absentee ballot yet, go ahead and vote in person if you can!

Chart 2: Mail ballot requests are down by half in the five core metro counties Bar chart of mail ballots requested by Oct. 22, 2026, compared with the same point in 2022, split into ballots returned, not yet returned and voted another way. Five core metro counties (Fulton, DeKalb, Cobb, Gwinnett and Clayton): 52,562 requested vs. 102,984 in 2022, down 49%; 32,190 not yet returned vs. 48,004. The other 154 counties: 94,953 requested vs. 154,045, down 38%; 42,411 not yet returned vs. 55,141. Georgia: 147,515 requested vs. 257,029, down 43%; 74,601 not yet returned vs. 103,145.

Chart 2

Early vote by area, the detail behind Chart 2

Table of accepted early ballots by area through Oct. 22, 2026, compared with the same point in 2022, 12 days before Election Day. Fulton: 178,720 vs. 172,135, up 3.8% (6,585 more ballots); turnout 20.5% of registered voters vs. 20.0%. DeKalb: 124,266 vs. 118,213, up 5.1% (6,053 more); turnout 21.5% vs. 20.7%. Clayton: 38,141 vs. 35,756, up 6.7% (2,385 more); turnout 18.1% vs. 17.3%. Cobb: 122,590 vs. 105,281, up 16.4% (17,309 more); turnout 21.2% vs. 18.6%. Gwinnett: 116,254 vs. 99,625, up 16.7% (16,629 more); turnout 17.6% vs. 15.7%. Exurbs (Cherokee, Forsyth, Henry, Douglas, Fayette and Rockdale): 187,482 vs. 168,628, up 11.2% (18,854 more); turnout 20.7% vs. 19.9%. Other 148 counties: 700,321 vs. 693,275, up 1.0% (7,046 more); turnout 15.8% vs. 16.7%. Georgia: 1,467,774 vs. 1,392,913, up 5.4% (74,861 more); turnout 17.8% in both years. Gwinnett's 2022 counts come from the state's daily reports because its 2022 ballot file is incomplete.

Turnout is accepted early ballots as a share of all registered voters, active and inactive. Gwinnett’s 2022 counts come from the state’s daily early-vote reports because its 2022 ballot file is incomplete.

Clayton, DeKalb, and Fulton are lagging 

Early turnout is being driven by voters in the Atlanta suburbs and exurbs, where turnout is outpacing 2022 by about 11 to 17 percentage points. DeKalb and Fulton are lagging well behind those counties, and the rest of the state is trailing further still.

Chart 3: Fulton, DeKalb and Clayton trail the suburbs in early voting Bar chart of the change in early ballots from 2022 at the same point, with turnout as a share of all registered voters. Fulton is up 3.8% (turnout 20.5% vs. 20.0% in 2022). DeKalb is up 5.1% (21.5% vs. 20.7%). Clayton is up 6.7% (18.1% vs. 17.3%). Cobb is up 16.4% (21.2% vs. 18.6%). Gwinnett is up 16.7% (17.6% vs. 15.7%). The exurbs (Cherokee, Forsyth, Henry, Douglas, Fayette and Rockdale) are up 11.2% (20.7% vs. 19.9%). The other 148 counties are up 1.0% (15.8% vs. 16.7%). Georgia overall is up 5.4%, with turnout at 17.8% in both years. Gwinnett's 2022 counts come from the state's daily reports because its 2022 ballot file is incomplete.

Chart 3

Early vote by area, the detail behind Chart
Turnout is accepted early ballots as a share of all registered voters, active and inactive. Gwinnett’s 2022 counts come from the state’s daily early-vote reports because its 2022 ballot file is incomplete.

The counties with the most Democrats are behind

Some of this makes sense. There are competitive State House races in suburban districts and many of these voters are Democrats, but the counties with the largest concentrations of Democratic voters are lagging. A new early vote in DeKalb or Clayton is close to a Democratic vote all the way down the ballot.

Chart 4: Few 2022 voters in Clayton and DeKalb split their tickets Dot chart of the 2022 vote share for Stacey Abrams for governor and Raphael Warnock for Senate. Warnock's lead over Abrams shows how much ticket splitting there was. Clayton: Abrams 86.0%, Warnock 87.4%, a gap of 1.4 points. DeKalb: Abrams 81.1%, Warnock 84.3%, 3.2 points. Fulton: Abrams 68.8%, Warnock 73.5%, 4.7 points. Cobb: Abrams 51.8%, Warnock 56.8%, 4.9 points. Gwinnett: Abrams 54.8%, Warnock 58.9%, 4.2 points. Exurbs: Abrams 42.7%, Warnock 46.6%, 3.9 points. Other 148 counties: Abrams 33.0%, Warnock 36.1%, 3.1 points. Georgia: Abrams 45.9%, Warnock 49.4%, 3.6 points.

Chart 4

Why this matters

We have big goals for this election. We are working to re-elect Senator Jon Ossoff, elect Keisha Lance Bottoms as Governor, flip the State House, and elect Democrats all the way down the ballot in order to end the Republican stranglehold on Georgia. 

These victories would protect our right to vote especially in light of the gutting of the Voting Rights Act, push back on gerrymandering that dilutes our voice, fight corporate corruption and data center intrusion in our neighborhoods, defend the civil rights of every Georgian, and lower the costs of housing, groceries, and power bills that keep rising while billionaires line their pockets.

We need high turnout from our largest Democratic counties to elect Democrats all the way down the ballot

 Chart 5: Fulton, DeKalb and Clayton need 4% to 7% more early votes to match the exurbs Bar chart of how much each county's early vote must grow from where it is now to match the exurbs' 11.2% increase over 2022. Fulton needs 7.1% more, or 12,661 more ballots on top of 178,720. DeKalb needs 5.8% more, or 7,164 on top of 124,266. Clayton needs 4.2% more, or 1,613 on top of 38,141. That's 21,438 more ballots in all.

Chart 5

We can still get this done!

There is still time, and the outcome is in our hands. If we all work together through the finish line this final week of early voting, we can turn out the voters who will decide these races. On November 4, we don’t want to wonder whether we did everything we could.

What will you do this week?

  1. Vote early. If you haven’t yet, don’t wait another day. Early voting ends Friday, October 30.

  2. Return your absentee ballot to a drop box. Find a location to return your ballot at votesaira.com/vote. If you have not received your absentee ballot yet, go ahead and vote in person if you can!

  3. Knock doors in DeKalb and Clayton counties. Talk with your neighbors and give them the information they need to vote before early voting closes. Research shows door-to-door conversations are among the most effective ways to turn out voters.

Sign up for a shift today, and bring a friend.

Volunteer to get out the vote.

Canvass from Saira’s porch

We will be out again this weekend and every weekend until election day. Talking to your neighbors is the most effective way to get out the vote.

Call voters to give them the information they need to vote early
Remind 3 friends to vote
  • Wave signs at early vote locations across DeKalb asking voters to remind 3 friends to vote. Find info here

Support our get-out-the-vote efforts
  • The work we are doing to get out the vote and keep you informed would not be possible without your support. Please consider a donation today.

Join us for an election data update.

Join us for an update on the state of the election and a deeper dive into the data after the last weekend of early voting. Get the inside scoop from Rep. Saira Draper's team on the trends they've seen during Georgia's early voting period, and what it means for Democrats in DeKalb, Clayton, and the rest of Georgia for the critical midterm elections.

Join this webinar to learn more, ask questions, and get ready for the final push to Election Day on Nov 3rd.

When: Monday, October 26

Time: 7pm

Get in Touch

There are several ways you can share your concerns, request assistance, or let me know about activities in our neighborhoods.  

The best way to get in touch is through the contact us form on my website. But, you can also reach me by calling the office (404-656-0265), sending an email to [email protected], or visiting the Capitol. My office is 604-D in the Coverdell Legislative Office Building across the street from the Capitol.

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The work to turn Georgia blue is not possible without donor support. Your contribution goes toward staff salaries, operations, and communications with voters (like this newsletter!).

If you found value in this newsletter, or if value what I bring to the Georgia legislature, please consider supporting my campaign today.  

Contributions to Friends of Saira Draper are not deductible for tax purposes. State law allows individuals, corporations, and Political Action Committees to contribute a maximum of $3,300 for the primary, $1,800 for the runoff, and $3,300 for the general election.  

Yours in service,